Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 9.913681e-05 0.000117 0.000137 0.000158 0.000183 0.000208 0.000237
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 7.447921e-05 0.000098 0.000124 0.000155 0.000192 0.000232 0.000280
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 5.987516e-05 0.000085 0.000115 0.000151 0.000196 0.000246 0.000306
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 4.929774e-05 0.000076 0.000109 0.000151 0.000203 0.000264 0.000338
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 4.250186e-05 0.000070 0.000105 0.000152 0.000211 0.000281 0.000368
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.556309e-05 0.000063 0.000100 0.000151 0.000216 0.000295 0.000395
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.868704e-05 0.000055 0.000093 0.000145 0.000214 0.000300 0.000410
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.475719e-05 0.000051 0.000090 0.000146 0.000221 0.000315 0.000438
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.940916e-05 0.000044 0.000082 0.000139 0.000217 0.000316 0.000448
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.704296e-05 0.000042 0.000081 0.000141 0.000225 0.000332 0.000476
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.439754e-05 0.000038 0.000078 0.000140 0.000228 0.000343 0.000497
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.319196e-05 0.000038 0.000079 0.000145 0.000239 0.000363 0.000531
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.052571e-05 0.000034 0.000075 0.000143 0.000243 0.000376 0.000558
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 7.871646e-06 0.000029 0.000070 0.000139 0.000243 0.000384 0.000579
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 5.945083e-06 0.000026 0.000066 0.000137 0.000245 0.000393 0.000601
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.539468e-06 0.000023 0.000063 0.000135 0.000248 0.000405 0.000626
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.678685e-06 0.000022 0.000062 0.000137 0.000256 0.000422 0.000659
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.701378e-06 0.000019 0.000059 0.000135 0.000258 0.000433 0.000683
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.748370e-06 0.000016 0.000054 0.000130 0.000256 0.000436 0.000697
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.295211e-06 0.000015 0.000053 0.000131 0.000262 0.000451 0.000726
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 6.998447e-07 0.000012 0.000048 0.000125 0.000256 0.000450 0.000734
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 5.032047e-07 0.000011 0.000047 0.000127 0.000264 0.000467 0.000767
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 3.039537e-07 0.000010 0.000046 0.000126 0.000267 0.000478 0.000792